Quantitative monetary economics program

CARONTE

Swap Arbitrage

Cross-Broker Carry Engineering — Swap, Hedge, Margin Survival & Execution Control

$1,800

10 phases · 10 modules · capstoneNot risk-free arbitrageMock formation · live brokers later
Course roadmap · 10 phases
Phase 1
CARRY
Swap · rollover · GrossCarry
Phase 2
DATA
Contracts · numerario · mock
Phase 3
SURVIVAL
Ledger · Equity · T_SO
Phase 4
HEDGE
E(c,t) · contract sizes
Phase 5
ATTRIBUTION
NetCarry · BasisPnL · BED
Phase 6
SIZING
q_max · K(b)
Phase 7
EXECUTION
PARTIAL · UNKNOWN
Phase 8
EMERGENCY
δ_soft · δ_hard · Slack
Phase 9
STRESS
S01–S18 · Gate A
Phase 10
REAL
B0 contractual → B1–B5
Ten technical phases. Ten academic modules (I–X) live inside them. The capstone is the Cross-Broker Carry Research Engine. Coursework clock is not sealed.

Mission and vision

Mission

Design, formalise, implement, and validate a delta-neutral cross-broker carry system that measures financing, exposure, margin survival, execution, costs, and contractual risk before live data or live capital.

Vision

Traders who can build a quantitative research engine for cross-broker carry, governed by invariants of exposure, accounting, margin, execution, and survival — not a swap recipe, and not a free-lunch slide.

Why CARONTE

CARONTE is Swap Arbitrage — Cross-Broker Carry Engineering. It is not ZEUS, not AQUILES, not HEFESTO, and not Kratos. It is not a slide about “free lunch.”

The object is a delta-neutral cross-broker carry system: observable financing dispersion, a vector hedge, margin survival, accounting integrity, execution reconciliation, stress validation, and contractual eligibility. Formation uses mock and synthetic data. Evaluation with live brokers is a later, separate phase.

A strategy that is economically neutral can still blow one of its accounts before the aggregated hedge has a chance to prove it was neutral.

Who it is for

Algorithmic traders, independent quants, trading-system developers, market-neutral researchers, and FX/CFD systematic operators. Python, bid/ask, leverage and margin, realised/unrealised P&L, and basic backtesting are assumed.

What it is not

Not “find the highest swap.” Not lot-equal coverage as a hedge. Not copy-paste signals. Not a profit promise. Lecture bodies are not authored yet.

What you'll be able to do

  • Separate observable GrossCarry from markup, financing stories, and commercial swap promotions
  • Normalise heterogeneous broker specs into a canonical contract before they enter the core
  • Hedge by currency exposure E(c,t) — not by matching lots — and name the residual
  • Model first-passage stop-out T_SO and size to survival, not to hoped-for carry
  • Keep Gate A (the engine works on mock) distinct from Gate B (whether the strategy exists)

Course map

CARONTE curricular process — ten phases from observable carry to mock-to-real gates

Same path as the accordion below. Ten technical phases, ten modules, one capstone. Not a free-lunch slide.

Course content

Phase 1 — CARRY 1 module
Module 1 — Economy of Swap and Cross-Broker Carry Outline
GrossCarry is an observation, not a free lunch Read
Phase 2 — DATA 2 modules
Module 1 — Broker Data Engineering and Normalisation Outline
The core never knows a broker name Read
Module 2 — Mock Market Generator and Structural Consistency Outline
A mock generator must be adversarial Read
Phase 3 — SURVIVAL 2 modules
Module 1 — Ledger, Equity and System Accounting Outline
Equity = Balance + UnrealizedPnL + AccruedSwap Read
Module 2 — Margin Survival Engineering Outline
Neutral in P&L, fragile in survival Read
Phase 4 — HEDGE 1 module
Module 1 — Hedge Engineering and Vector Exposure Outline
1 lot A ≠ 1 lot B — hedge E(c,t) Read
Phase 5 — ATTRIBUTION 1 module
Module 1 — P&L Attribution and Carry Metrics Outline
No component counted twice Read
Phase 6 — SIZING 1 module
Module 1 — Robust Sizing and Capital Allocation Outline
q_max is the minimum supported size Read
Phase 7–8 — EXECUTION · EMERGENCY 1 module
Module 1 — Execution Uncertainty and Emergency Control Outline
Timeout ≠ not executed Read
Phase 9–10 — STRESS · REAL 1 module
Module 1 — Stress Laboratory, Gate A and Mock-to-Real Outline
Gate A proves the engine; Gate B asks if the strategy exists Read
Capstone — Cross-Broker Carry Research Engine Outline · Project
A research engine, not a swap recipe Read

Course content is Phase → Module → Chapter using CARONTE's technical phases. Module numbers restart inside each phase. Modules IX and X each span two roadmap phases as authored (7–8 EXECUTION / EMERGENCY; 9–10 STRESS / REAL). The capstone sits outside the ten phases. Lecture bodies are not authored yet.

Instructor

Elmer Niño

Elmer Niño

Founder, VTAlgo Group · Systems Engineer · MSc in Computer Science

Algorithmic trader since 2009, running trading as an enterprise. Methodology built on walk-forward analysis, genetic optimization, PCA against over-optimization, the Triple Barrier Method, and 9–12 month live validation before capital.